Based on our analysis, there is no progressive candidate to recommend for your vote in this race.
State assemblymembers represent and advocate for the needs of their district constituents at the California State Capitol. They are responsible for creating, debating, and voting on legislation that addresses issues within their district.
The California State Assembly has 80 districts. Each represents a population of at least 465,000 Californians. Representatives are elected to the Assembly for a two-year term. Every two years, all 80 seats are subject to election. Members elected before 2012 are restricted to three two-year terms (six years) in the Assembly. Those elected in or after 2012 are allowed to serve 12 years total across both the state Senate or the Assembly. This term, Democrats currently hold a two-thirds supermajority of 56 seats in the California State Assembly, while Republicans hold 19 seats. One seat is held by an Independent and four seats are currently vacant.
California’s 15th Assembly District includes parts of Contra Costa County. Democrats typically hold this district. Of the registered voters in this district, 17% are Republican and 54% are Democrat, and the district’s demographic breakdown is 22% Latino, 13% Asian, and 11% Black. After the 2021 redistricting process, AD-15 is 3% less Democratic than it was during the 2020 general election cycle. The most recent election results show that AD-15 voted for Biden for president in 2020 by 46 points and Newsom for governor in 2018 by 32 points.
There are two candidates running for this seat, including incumbent Democrat Tim Grayson and Republican Janell Elizabeth Proctor. Grayson’s campaign has raised over $650,000 and is funded by corporate, police, fossil fuel, and real estate money. Proctor’s campaign has raised approximately $17,000 and is funded in part by police groups.
Rep. Grayson is the incumbent, having represented the district since 2016. He currently holds leadership roles on one committee: the Banking and Finance Committee. Grayson has a lifetime score of 40 out of 100 on Courage Score, our annual analysis of legislators’ progressive voting records, and consistently ranks in the Hall of Shame for being out of step with his constituents. Grayson failed to back AB 965, which allows people incarcerated as youths to earn time off toward their earliest parole date, and he also voted against AB 1600, a measure that makes it easier for defendants to obtain police misconduct records during trial. Moreover, Grayson has failed to support worker protections. For example, he failed to vote on measures to ensure that workers receive unemployment benefits at the beginning of a strike (AB 1066), as well as on measures to ban employers from forcing workers to surrender their right to sue as a term of employment (AB 51). Based on his track record, Grayson is likely to provide no progressive leadership in office.
We encourage you to write in a candidate of your choice to show support for progressives in this district. Keep reading for progressive recommendations in other key races and on ballot measures where your vote can make a critical difference.